Where Will Dogecoin Be in 1 Year?

With prices down 47% year to date, Dogecoin‘s (CRYPTO: DOGE) Trump-inspired rally is quickly unraveling. While it is normal for volatile assets to give up some of their gains after a big move, the controversial meme coin is performing worse than many of its peers. Is this dip a buying opportunity or a signal for investors to run for the hills? Let’s dig deeper to find out what the next 12 months could have in store.

A rising tide can lift all boats, and the cryptocurrency industry is no exception. However, while digital asset prices tend to be highly correlated in the short term, over the long term, some patterns begin to emerge. Meme coins like Dogecoin have historically posted explosive gains when market sentiment is positive but collapsed when the outlook sours.

It isn’t easy to pinpoint precisely why this occurs. But it likely has something to do with the asset’s investment community and its goals. When it was launched in 2013, Dogecoin was intended to satirize the cryptocurrency industry, not solve any particular problem. This somewhat unserious perspective has become part of its brand, potentially influencing the type of investors willing to buy the asset.

Unlike Dogecoin, other early cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (launched in 2009) and Ethereum (launched in 2015) have attracted growing mainstream acceptance. Both assets have been approved for exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which has opened the door for institutional investors like pension funds, university endowments, and even national governments to add them to their portfolios.

These deep-pocketed organizations can have a stabilizing effect on crypto prices because they tend to hold for the long haul instead of panic-selling to take profits or pay for real-life emergencies.

On the other hand, Dogecoin attracts a more retail-oriented crowd that is easily swayed by statements from influencers like Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who has frequently promoted Dogecoin to his 220 million followers on X (formerly Twitter). While positive posts can boost an asset’s price in the short term, they aren’t enough to create sustainable value.

Furthermore, Dogecoin’s history of price booms and busts has likely become a negative feedback loop, scaring away long-term investors and attracting even more short-term speculators looking for a quick buck.

While cryptocurrencies can’t be valued based on traditional stock market metrics like revenue or earnings growth, that doesn’t mean they don’t have fundamentals. Unfortunately for Dogecoin investors, this volatile meme coin wasn’t designed to be a good store of value.